Open Access News

News from the open access movement

Saturday, July 07, 2007

Do recent OA journals last longer than recent TA journals?

Heather Morrison, Are open access journals ten times more likely to survive?  Imaginary Journal of Poetic Economics, July 6, 2007.  Excerpt:

Of the scholarly journals started from 2000 - 2006 recorded in Ulrich's, the open access journals were ten times more likely to be still active, strongly suggesting an open access survival advantage for new journals.

Data from Ulrich's, July 5, 2007:

  • # of online, refereed, scholarly / academic journals started 2000 - 2006:  2,253
  • # of above ceased:  59 = .026%
  • # of online, refereed, scholarly / academic journals, open access journals started 2000 - 2006:  724
  • # of above ceased:  2 = .0027

The period 2000 - 2006 was selected, to help control for older, subscription-only journals that would have ceased before open access was an option the journal would have considered.

It should be noted that this is a quick study, which has not explored or controlled for all variables; conclusions should be drawn with caution. The data do, however, strongly suggest an hypothesis worthy of testing.

PS:  For some data on the mortality rate of the first generation of OA journals --those launched between 1994 and 2004-- see Walt Crawford's two-part study (Part I, Part II) from October 2006 (or my blogged excerpt).